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(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve on Wednesday signaled they will soon lay out a plan to stop letting go of $4 trillion in bonds and other assets, but policymakers are still debating how long their newly adopted “patient” stance on U.S. rates policy will last. For now, policymakers see little risk to leaving interest rates alone while they take time to assess rising risks, including a global slowdown, according to the Fed’s minutes from their Jan. 29-30 meeting, released on Wednesday.

Though “several” participants thought a rate increase would be necessary only if inflation unexpectedly surged, “several other participants indicated that, if the economy evolved as they expected, they would view it as appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate later this year.”, Those split views suggest that the central bank may not yet have ended its three-year campaign to raise interest rates, but has merely put it on an extended pause, In January the Fed surprised markets by gunmetal and mother of pearl inlaid tie clip cufflinks saying it would be patient about adjusting its target range for short-term interest rates, now between 2.25 percent and 2.5 percent..

The surprisingly dovish decision came amid mounting risks to the U.S. economy, including slowing Chinese and European economies and waning stimulus from the 2018 U.S. tax cuts. A raft of Fed policymakers speaking since the Fed’s January pledge of patience have insisted the economy is in a good place. But doubts have remained, with traders in U.S. interest-rate futures placing increasing bets that the Fed will need to ease policy by early next year to counter a downturn. The tone of the minutes was “decidedly noncommittal,” according to Ward McCarthy, an economist at Jefferies LLC.

Meanwhile, Fed policymakers gunmetal and mother of pearl inlaid tie clip cufflinks do seem to have coalesced around a plan to leave their balance sheet permanently bigger than it ever was in the past, the minutes show, “Almost all participants thought that it would be desirable to announce before too long a plan to stop reducing the Federal Reserve’s asset holdings later this year,” the minutes said, The Fed absorbed government bonds and mortgages in the wake of the 2007-09 recession but policymakers began trimming those holdings in the final months of 2017..

Research staff presented options at the meeting for “substantially slowing” the runoff of the Fed’s balance sheet, “at some point over the latter half of this year.” The runoff is currently capped at $50 billion a month. Bob Miller, Head of U.S. Multi-Sector Fixed Income at BlackRock Inc, said he is now expecting a balance sheet plan from the Fed by the May meeting minutes, a decision on the matter by June and a halt to the Fed’s runoff by October, if not July. This will help U.S. financial conditions and markets, he said. “The fact is that the Committee has spent three consecutive policy meetings discussing the balance sheet in detail, and to us that suggests some urgency in addressing the questions surrounding its future,” Miller said in a note.

NEW YORK (Reuters) - An index of stocks across the globe hit a more than four-month high on Wednesday on hopes for progress in trade talks between the gunmetal and mother of pearl inlaid tie clip cufflinks United States and China, and a supportive backdrop from major central banks also helped push risk assets higher, Crude prices rose to their 2019 highs helped by output cuts from top producers as well as U.S, sanctions on OPEC members Iran and Venezuela, Stocks started with a rally in Asia that pushed the MSCI world equity index to its highest since October after U.S, President Donald Trump said negotiations with China were going well and suggested he was open to extending the deadline to complete them beyond March 1..

Many had feared U.S. tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese imports would rise to 25 percent from 10 percent if no trade deal was reached by then. European stock indexes also strengthened, with a region-wide index at a four-month high. On Wall Street, stocks wobbled before ending higher after Federal Reserve policymakers signaled they will soon lay out a plan to manage the bank’s $4 trillion balance sheet, but policymakers are still debating how long their newly adopted “patient” stance on U.S. rates policy will last.

The tone of the Fed meeting “was decidedly noncommittal, and the minutes recreated this noncommittal message in more detail,” said Jefferies analysts led by Ward McCarthy in a note, “The FOMC is on track to curtail the normalization of the balance sheet without providing any solid reasoning for doing so.”, The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 63.12 points, or 0.24 percent, to 25,954.44, the S&P 500 gained 4.94 points, or 0.18 percent, to 2,784.7 and the gunmetal and mother of pearl inlaid tie clip cufflinks Nasdaq Composite added 2.30 points, or 0.03 percent, to 7,489.07..



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