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The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index excluding food and energy, has been hovering just below the central bank’s 2 percent target. Year-on-year wage growth has exceeded 3 percent for four months running, and if booming job growth continues, the wage gains will likely put upward pressure on inflation, said Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist for the Economic Outlook Group. “If he were to actually pursue interest rate policy based on wages, he would be then inclined to raise interest rates now,” Baumohl said.
Given Trump’s vociferous criticism of the Fed’s rate hikes golden snitch gift set cufflinks last year, it’s a safe assumption that any White House pick would be opposed to further Fed moves to lift borrowing costs, Baumohl added, The Fed raised rates four times in 2018, but on Wednesday signaled its three-year-drive to tighten monetary policy may be at an end amid a suddenly cloudy outlook for the U.S, economy due to global headwinds and impasses over trade and government budget negotiations, There are currently two vacancies on the seven-member Fed board, Board members have a vote on setting interest rates every time U.S, central bankers meet, making them among America’s most powerful officials for economic policy..
Cain, 73, sought the Republican presidential nomination during the 2012 campaign and led in the polls for a period. But his popularity slipped amid sexual harassment allegations from several women. Cain denied the accusations. From 1989 to 1996, Cain served as a director at the Kansas City Fed, which is one of 12 regional Fed banks that help process payments in the U.S. banking system and whose presidents take turns voting on rate policy. Baumohl said that while that experience gives Cain some familiarity with the Fed, “if we are looking for an economist, someone that has good solid training in monetary policy and how it affects the macro economy, I’m not sure he is the right person.”.
(Reuters) - golden snitch gift set cufflinks U.S, job growth surged in January, with employers hiring the most workers in 11 months, pointing to underlying strength in the economy despite a darkening outlook that has left the Federal Reserve cautious about further interest rate hikes this year, The Labor Department’s closely watched monthly employment report on Friday showed no “discernible” impact on job growth from a 35-day partial government shutdown, But the longest shutdown in history, which ended a week ago, pushed up the unemployment rate to a seven-month high of 4.0 percent..
** U.S. Jan nonfarm payrolls +304,000 (consensus +165,000) vs Dec +222,000 (prev +312,000), Nov +196,000 (prev +176,000). ** U.S. Jan labor force participation rate 63.2 pct vs Dec 63.1 pct (prev 63.1 pct). ** U.S. Jan jobless rate 4.0 pct (consensus 3.9 pct) vs Dec 3.9 pct (prev 3.9 pct). ** US Jan average hourly earnings all private workers +0.1 pct (cons +0.3 pct) vs Dec +0.4 pct (prev +0.4 pct) to $27.56 vs Dec $27.53. ** Jan year-on-year earnings +3.2 pct (cons +3.2 pct) vs Dec +3.3 pct (prev +3.2 pct).
STOCKS: S&P e-mini futures reverse early weakness, now up 0.12 percent, BONDS: 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields rise from earlier level, FOREX: The dollar index turns slightly higher, RATE FUTURES: Fed funds contract for January 2020 turns slightly lower from slightly higher, RANDY FREDERICK, VICE PRESIDENT OF TRADING AND DERIVATIVES, CHARLES SCHWAB, AUSTIN, TEXAS, “What we’re seeing here is what happened a month ago, What this largely golden snitch gift set cufflinks speaks to is what the jobs market was prior to the government shutdown..
“The payroll number was significantly stronger than what was expected, so a lot more people are finding jobs basically. “Overall, it speaks to what we’ve known for a long time, that the labor market is one of the strongest parts of the economy. “This the biggest and most important part of the day, it has given the markets a boost when it was pretty much unchanged so this will give it a boost at the open.”. GUY LEBAS, CHIEF FIXED INCOME STRATEGIST, JANNEY MONTGOMERY SCOTT LLC, PHILADELPHIA.
“In headline terms it is another excellent payrolls report with strong job growth, decent wage gains and even some upbeat revisions to the last couple months, “The timing couldn’t be worse for the Federal Reserve seeing as they just issued a rather dovish missive on Wednesday, The question for financial markets over the next few trading sessions is whether the dovish outlook from the Fed was a reaction to data inputs or whether it golden snitch gift set cufflinks represents a new reaction function to the same data..